Author: Tomasz Czapiewski
E-mail: tomasz.czapiewski@usz.edu.pl
Institution: University of Szczecin
Year of publication: 2016
Source: Show
Pages: 11-25
DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/rop201601
PDF: rop/2016/rop201601.pdf

This article aims to describe the possible variants of the course of events after Brexit, from a Scottish perspective. Three dimensions are taken into the account: future model of UK–EU relations, symmetry of Brexit inside the UK and possibility of the second independence referendum in the near future (less than five years). These dimension have allowed to distinguish three main variants of further development, that are in short named by the author as: passive variant, Scottish exception and another referendum. It seems at this point that the Scottish Government is bound to carry out the second referendum, especially if the British government chooses a variant of the so-called hard Brexit. The European argument, which is so often used by Sturgeon in political debate does not necessarily lead to an increase in support for the independence, especially when eventual membership in the European Union of an independent Scotland is burdened with so many question marks.

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