Author: Benon Zbigniew Szałek
Institution: University of Szczecin
Year of publication: 2014
Source: Show
Pages: 95-121
DOI Address: -
PDF: rop/2014/rop201407.pdf

This paper presents some remarks on the situation of Poland in NATO. The problem of ‘predictability’ is analysed on the basis of a simple scheme (system, its environment, their interactions). The geopolitical analysis of this dynamic model leads to the conclusion that the future cannot be described as highly predictable, although some long-term scenarios seem to be relatively plausible and may be used in the construction of more realistic global and national/ regional strategies. The results of this analysis suggest global cooperation and regional integration.


  • Buchanan P.J., Suicide of a Superpower: Will America Survive to 2025?, Kobierzyce 2013.
  • Friedman G., The Next 100 Years. A Forecast for the 21st Century, Random House 2009.
  • Grodzki R., Problemy bezpieczeństwa Czech, Polski i Węgier w kontekście poszerzania NATO, Poznań 2011.
  • Koźmiński J., Nasza droga do NATO, “Polityka”, No. 11, 12.3. – 18.3.2014, pp. 52 – 54.
  • Olszewski P., Kapuśniak T., Lizak W. (eds.), Bezpieczeństwo międzynarodowe. Wyzwania i zagrożenia XXI wieku, Radom 2009.
  • Strategic Concept for the Defence and Security of the Members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, NATO, Brussels 2012.
  • Szałek B. Zb., Geopolityczne uwarunkowania bezpieczeństwa energetycznego Polski, in: J. Piątek, R. Podgórzańska (eds.), Terminal LNG w Świnoujściu a bezpieczeństwo energetyczne regionu i Polski, Toruń 2013, pp.120 – 142.
  • Wojnicz L., Common Security and Defence Policy of the European Union in Theories of the European Integration, “Reality of Politics” 2013, No. 4, pp. 316 – 335.

Wiadomość do:



© 2017 Adam Marszałek Publishing House. All rights reserved.

Projekt i wykonanie Pollyart