political and military forecasting

  • Poland in NATO – Some Geopolitical and Praxiological Remarks

    Author: Benon Zbigniew Szałek
    Institution: University of Szczecin
    Year of publication: 2014
    Source: Show
    Pages: 95-121
    DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/rop201407
    PDF: rop/2014/rop201407.pdf

    This paper presents some remarks on the situation of Poland in NATO. The problem of ‘predictability’ is analysed on the basis of a simple scheme (system, its environment, their interactions). The geopolitical analysis of this dynamic model leads to the conclusion that the future cannot be described as highly predictable, although some long-term scenarios seem to be relatively plausible and may be used in the construction of more realistic global and national/ regional strategies. The results of this analysis suggest global cooperation and regional integration.

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