The People’s Republic of China in the Security Policy of the Russian Federation: The Evolution of Russian Strategic Documents in 2000–2023

  • Author: Marcin Składanowski
  • Institution: John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1437-8904
  • Author: Cezary Smuniewski
  • Institution: University of Warsaw
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8973-3539
  • Author: Piotr Kopiec
  • Institution: John Paul II Catholic University of Lublin
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0581-0737
  • Author: Błażej Bado
  • Institution: University of Warsaw
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1323-4693
  • Year of publication: 2024
  • Source: Show
  • Pages: 115-134
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/athena.2024.83.07
  • PDF: apsp/83/apsp8307.pdf

This article provides a nuanced perspective concerning the future prospects of Sino-Russian security cooperation. It examines the image of China in Russian strategic documents during President Putin’s rule and investigates potential points of conflict arising from Russia’s perception of the post-Soviet landscape as its exclusive sphere of influence. The study is based on a systematic analysis of Russian strategic documents, specifically focusing on how they address of Sino-Russian relations, as well as Russian security and foreign policy concerning Central Asia. The analysis reveals that actual Russian security policy exhibits caution in its cooperation with China. The research contributes to the field by delineating a significant discrepancy between the role ascribed to China in Russian state propaganda, and therefore in public perception, and the more measured and reasonable formulations present in Russian strategic documents. This divergence illustrates the complexity and caution that characterise genuine Sino-Russian relations, especially in the realm of security policy.

Chińska Republika Ludowa w polityce bezpieczeństwa Federacji Rosyjskiej: ewolucja rosyjskich dokumentów strategicznych w latach 2000–2023

Niniejszy artykuł przedstawia zniuansowaną perspektywę dotyczącą perspektyw chińsko-rosyjskiej współpracy w zakresie bezpieczeństwa. Analizuje on wizerunek Chin w rosyjskich dokumentach strategicznych za rządów Władimira Putina i bada potencjalne punkty konfliktu wynikające z postrzegania przez Rosję obszaru poradzieckiego jako jej wyłącznej strefy wpływów. Artykuł opiera się na systematycznej analizie rosyjskich dokumentów strategicznych, w szczególności koncentrując się na tym, w jaki sposób mówią one o stosunkach chińsko-rosyjskich, a także rosyjskiej polityki bezpieczeństwa i polityki zagranicznej dotyczącej Azji Środkowej. Analiza ujawnia, że rzeczywista rosyjska polityka bezpieczeństwa wykazuje ostrożność we współpracy z Chinami. Artykuł wykazuje, że istnieje znaczna rozbieżność między rolą przypisywaną Chinom w rosyjskiej propagandzie państwowej, a tym samym w percepcji publicznej, a bardziej wyważonymi i rozsądnymi sformułowaniami obecnymi w rosyjskich dokumentach strategicznych. Rozbieżność ta ukazuje złożoność i ostrożność rzeczywistych stosunków chińsko-rosyjskich, zwłaszcza w sferze polityki bezpieczeństwa.

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