Społeczno-ekonomiczne uwarunkowania zachowań wyborczych w wyborach do Sejmu 2007 i 2011. Badanie oparte na danych zagregowanych
- Institution: Uniwersytet Łódzki
- Year of publication: 2015
- Source: Show
- Pages: 7-31
- DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/athena.2015.45.01
- PDF: apsp/45/apsp4501.pdf
SOCIOECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF VOTING BEHAVIOR IN 2007 AND 2011 SEJM ELECTIONS. ANALYSIS OF AGGREGATED DATA
In the paper I show the results of my research on voting behavior in Polish parliamentary elections. My studies focus on the elections to the Sejm in 2007 and 2011. Employing regression models I try to verify the following hypotheses: H1: An increase in voting turnout, that is an important indicator of positive social capital, is positively correlated with the Civic Platform election result, while increasing the negative social capital determinants results in the decline in the Civic Platform support. H2: An increase in voting turnout is beneficial for the Civic Platform, while having negative impact on the political support given to the Law and Justice and the Polish People’s Party. H3: The higher the percentage of women in a county (powiat), the greater the average support for the Civic Platform. H4: When it comes to the determinants of political support for the selected parties, it turns out that, economic variables are statistically insignificant. To carry out my studies I use statistical data available from Central Statistical Office of Poland and from National Electoral Commission.
voting behavior in Poland regression models socio-economic determinants of voting behavior