Syria 2.0? Czy Birma w dalekowschodniej polityce Federacji Rosyjskiej odegra podobną rolę do Syrii w bliskowschodniej strategii Kremla?
- Institution: Uniwersytet Jagielloński w Krakowie
- ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3342-1763
- Year of publication: 2023
- Source: Show
- Pages: 9-35
- DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ksm20230301
- PDF: ksm/39/ksm3901.pdf
Syria 2.0? Will Burma play a similar role in the Far Eastern policy of the Russian Federation to Syria in the Kremlin’s Middle Eastern strategy?
The intensification of Russia-Myanmar relations has been one of the the unexpected consequences of Russo-Ukrainian war. For Russian Federation Burma/ Myanmar used to be a secondary partner, important only due to being the major client of the military-industrial complex. Global (semi)isolation of Russia changed these calculations, upgrading the importance of Myanmar in Russia’s foreign policy. For Naypyidaw these relations have been important since the last coup (1 February 2021), in the aftermath of the putsch Moscow became the biggest international protector of Burmese generals. Due to these two reasons Russia-Myanmar relations have reached the unprecedented high level, unseen in history of this bilateral relations.
Jednym z nieoczekiwanych pobocznych następstw wojny rosyjsko-ukraińskiej jest intensyfikacja stosunków rosyjsko-birmańskich. Dla Rosji Birma była tradycyjnie drugorzędnym partnerem, istotnym tylko ze względu na bycie ważnym klientem kompleksu wojenno-przemysłowego. Globalna półizolacja Federacji Rosyjskiej po napaści na Ukrainę zmieniła te kalkulacje podnosząc znaczenie Birmy w polityce zagranicznej Federacji Rosyjskiej. Dla samej Birmy stosunki te stały się istotne już wcześniej, zwłaszcza po wojskowym puczu w 2021 r., gdy Rosja wyrosła na główną protektorkę birmańskich generałów. Powyższe przyczyny sprawiły, że stosunki rosyjsko-birmańskie osiągnęły największą, bezprecedensową intensyfikację w całej swojej historii.
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2021 coup in Myanmar Russia–Myanmar relations Russia–Burma relations relacje Rosja–Mjanma stosunki Rosja–Birma stosunki rosyjsko-birmańskie Mjanma Birma Rosja Myanmar Burma