Issue 4

The Forecast of the Number of Soldiers in the Saudi Arabian Army in Terms of Military Security

  • Author: Bartosz Kozicki
  • Institution: Military University of Technology
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6089-952X
  • Author: Jarosław Zelkowski
  • Institution: Military University of Technology
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6698-2938
  • Author: Szymon Mitkow
  • Institution: Military University of Technology
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2845-2589
  • Author: Mariusz Gontarczyk
  • Institution: Military University of Technology
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1512-4092
  • Published online: 25 September 2021
  • Final submission: 16 September 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 10
  • Pages: 149-158
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202147
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202147.pdf

The study concerns forecasting the number of soldiers in the Saudi Arabian army based on information obtained from the website: https://data.worldbank.org (The World Bank, 9.03.2020). The research began with a comparative analysis of the number of soldiers in the armies of Saudi Arabia and Russia. The idea for a comparative analysis of the number of armies of Saudi Arabia and the Russian Federation arises from Russian policy in the region of the Middle East countries, including the impact on world oil prices. The comparative analysis showed the similarities and differences in the dynamics of changes in the number of both armies dynamically. Subsequently, the primary time series data analysis on the number of Saudi Arabian troops was performed. The study selected methods for predicting raw data: Holt’s exponential smoothing and Klein’s model for the future. The next stage of the research was forecasting and the analysis and evaluation of the obtained forecasts. Klein’s model was the best forecasting model. The forecast of the number of soldiers in the Saudi Arabian army for 2020 is 251454, and for 2021, it has increased to 251006. The study ends with a summary and conclusions.

Russia’s policy the Armed Forces of Saudi Arabia forecasting human resources policy military security

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Age Discrimination (Aspects and Manifestations) in the Perception of Active Seniors

  • Author: Michał Kubiak
  • Institution: University of Gdańsk
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4231-8071
  • Published online: 19 July 2021
  • Final submission: 12 July 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 18
  • Pages: 175-192
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202142
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202142.pdf

Among many demographic changes, one of the most evident now is the aging of the population, the consequences of which are increasingly leaving a mark on the directions of social policy. In connection with the aging of the population and positive aspects, manifestations of ageism, based on stereotypes and negative attitudes toward older people, are also more and more noticeable. Sometimes, these are discriminatory practices against older people encountered in the health sector, the labor market, public offices, and others. The research presented in the article aimed to identify age discrimination and its manifestations among older people. The purposive sampling technique was used to choose the research sample – the assumption was to examine active older people related to a large city who get involved and participate in various activities and projects carried out for them by nongovernmental organizations. The method of a diagnostic survey with a questionnaire, which included both closed and open-ended questions, was used in the research. The research was intended to help answer the following questions: do older people notice age discrimination, and have they experienced worse treatment because of their age? How many of the surveyed seniors experienced worse treatment and what forms (most often) did it take, and where did it happen?

older people age discrimination senior policy ageism aging stereotypes old age social policy

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Dispute over the Powers of the President of the Czech Republic

  • Author: Marcin Czyżniewski
  • Institution: Nicolaus Copernicus University
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3227-0035
  • Published online: 25 September 2021
  • Final submission: 23 August 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 12
  • Pages: 81-92
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202143
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202143.pdf

This article aims to analyze disputes and discussions on the powers of the President of the Republic, which have been happening since the establishment of the Czech Republic in 1993. These occurred when the President tried to interpret the provisions of the Constitution, took actions beyond their framework, or considered that his powers did not impose an obligation to act automatically. The disputes over the President’s powers were, therefore, not the result of theoretical discussions on the constitutional order of the Czech Republic, but were the result of the President’s involvement in the political life of the country, and above all, the decisions that did not correspond to the opinions and actions of the government. Disputes did not have an impact on a permanent change in the constitutional order. For example, there was no reason for an amendment to the Constitution that would extend, restrict, or clarify those powers.

presidential powers Constitution executive power Czech Republic political system

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The Impact of Conflicts on Natural Resources – The Case of Sudanese Darfur Region

  • Author: Nagmeldin Karamalla-Gaiballa
  • Institution: University of Commerce and Services
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7613-3334
  • Author: Siham El-Kafafi
  • Institution: Arrows Research Consultancy
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5480-451X
  • Published online: 25 September 2021
  • Final submission: 13 August 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 12
  • Pages: 7-18
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202144
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202144.pdf

This research paper explores the impact of sociological perspectives on the relationship between natural resources and conflicts. From these theoretical perspectives, many fundamental sources of conflict over natural resources are identified and defined. This research takes the approach of a case study in which the researchers investigate and analyze the sources of conflict happening in the Darfur region of Sudan. This case study explores the demographic changes, economic development, and social inequality among some factors contributing to conflict over resources in this region. The research findings demonstrated that various factors play a vital role in the availability of natural resources, which is the main reason sides other reasons flaring conflict in the Darfur region in Sudan. These factors are related to climate change, destruction of ecosystems, immigration, demographic change, and political changes. Even though various factors could impact the conflict of resources in the Darfur region in Sudan, these researchers focused in this research paper on the sociological perspective only.

demographic change social inequality economic development natural resources Darfur conflict

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Circles, networks, and relations of Jerzy Giedroyc and “Kultura”

  • Author: Iwona Hofman
  • Institution: Maria Curie-Skłodowska University
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0492-5169
  • Published online: 25 September 2021
  • Final submission: 3 August 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 12
  • Pages: 193-204
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202145
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202145.pdf

The purpose of the article is to describe the model and method of management of the Literary Institute and “Kultura” by Jerzy Giedroyc using the categories of circles, networks, and relations, verifying in this way the editor’s legend. The analysis covered the entire period of the Institute’s operation (1946-2000), comparing the internal periodization of the activity with the changes of the authors in the “Kultura” circle, which made it possible to distinguish between the friendly and home circle and three authors’ circles. The diaries, biographies, and letters provided the grounds to emphasize the significance of the network for building the position of “Kultura” as an opinion-forming magazine and a place of help for emigrant writers. Managing “Kultura” is presented, which is focused on creating relations and being objective. Synthesis, content analysis, and comparative methods have been used. This problem has not been discussed so far in the extensive literature on the subject.

“Kultura” authors the Literary Institute letters Jerzy Giedroyc Editors

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Common Security and Defense Policy of the European Union Through the Prism of Polish Experiences and Security Interests

  • Author: Teresa Usewicz
  • Institution: Polish Naval Academy
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6234-224X
  • Author: Kinga Torbicka
  • Institution: University of Warsaw
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6625-5060
  • Author: Magdalena El Ghamari
  • Institution: Collegium Civitas
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5798-7545
  • Published online: 18 October 2021
  • Final submission: 8 August 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 27
  • Pages: 33-59
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202149
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202149.pdf

In this paper, the authors attempt to prove that the Polish position on developing the EU’s Common Security and Defense Policy (CSDP) was skeptical, despite entries in political and strategic documents which emphasized its great significance for Polish security policy. It is evidenced by Poland’s low level of involvement in EU missions and operations and other undertakings in the CSDP area. The central hypothesis adopted at the beginning of the research is that Poland has always treated security and defense within the European Union as a kind of complement to the potential and capabilities developed within the framework of the North Atlantic Alliance, and the Polish involvement in CSDP has never been adequate to the provisions contained in political and strategic documents. Poland’s stance resulted, on the one hand, from the weakness of the CSDP’s political framework, which was shaped by numerous compromises among its member states, and on the other hand, from the political elite’s conviction that only NATO’s, and de facto the United States’, security guarantees are credible. In this paper, the authors analyze Poland’s previous experience resulting from polish participation in the policy in question and the evolution of Poland’s position toward its development in the context of the Republic of Poland’s security interests formulated in political and strategic documents.

security interests Common security and defense policy European Union Poland

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Joe Biden’s Strategy in the Asia-Pacific Region: Change or Continuity. A Comparative Analysis

  • Author: Marcin Grabowski
  • Institution: Jagiellonian University
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1447-1818
  • Published online: 2 November 2021
  • Final submission: 12 October 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 11
  • Pages: 95-105
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202152
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202152.pdf

The election of Joseph Biden for the office of the President of the United States has brought expectations of fundamental change in American foreign policy, including policy toward the Asia-Pacific/Indo-Pacific region. As observed in the last few months, the reality has been more complex as definite changes in the US Indo-Pacific policy are not as visible as expected. It is especially in respect of the US policy toward China being more a continuation than a change from Donald Trump’s approach. Changes are rhetorical rather than actual policies. The situation is different in the case of alliances, as Joe Biden offers much more commitment to allies like Japan or South Korea. Also, multilateral dimensions (both regional and global) witness some – however still limited – change. The main goal is to make a comparative analysis of Joe Biden’s policy toward Asia, referring to the administrations of Barack Obama and Donald Trump. Hence the strategies of pivot/re-balance toward the Asia of Obama, and the free and open Indo-Pacific strategy of Trump, will be examined. The analysis refers to the complex interdependence theory and the power transition theory. Methodologically, it is based on document analysis with comparative analysis.

Asia-Pacific Joe Biden Indo - Pacific Donald Trump Barack Obama United States

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Fake News and the Europeanization of Cyberspace

  • Author: Krzysztof Wasilewski
  • Institution: Koszalin University of Technology
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5378-2822
  • Published online: 2 November 2021
  • Final submission: 23 September 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 20
  • Pages: 61-80
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202153
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202153.pdf

As both the European Union and its member states acknowledge that the proliferation of fake news threatens their political stability and – consequently – the general idea of European integration – they have undertaken many steps to confront that problem. Them, the article examines how EU institutions, together with the member states, have tackled the spread of disinformation within the common policy of cybersecurity. The novelty of this study is that it does so concerning the ongoing process of Europeanization of cyberspace, combining the field of information technology with European studies.

fake news public sphere European Union Europeanization cybersecurity

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What Rule of Law for the European Union? – Tracing the Approaches of the EU Institutions

  • Author: Justyna Maliszewska-Nienartowicz
  • Institution: Nicolaus Copernicus University
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8266-3104
  • Author: Marcin Kleinowski
  • Institution: Nicolaus Copernicus University
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4613-5886
  • Published online: 2 November 2021
  • Final submission: 14 November 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 14
  • Pages: 19-32
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202155
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202155.pdf

Although the rule of law is a normative notion, it requires a multidimensional approach. It speaks to important issues of law and politics, and its respect is essential for both legal and social security. It can be observed within the European Union (EU) where the issue of respect for the rule of law by its Member States has gained particular importance. The main goal of our study is to contribute to the academic discourse concerning the EU rule of law. The analysis particularly considers the approaches adopted by the EU institutions to the definition of this concept. Consequently, the first part of the article concentrates on difficulties in defining the rule of law. The second part presents the evolution of the Court of Justice approach toward this concept. The next part contains the analysis of the attitudes presented by other EU institutions in their documents. In the conclusions, it is underlined that although the approaches of the EU institutions towards the rule of have evolved, and they have tried to define it and indicate its main components, certain issues require clarification, e.g., the relations of the rule of law with other values.

'A new EU Framework to strengthen the Rule of Law' ASJM case Les Verts case the EU rule of law and substantive approaches to the rule of law

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Cultural Security in Shaping the Generation of Civilizational Advancement Within the Universalization of Cultural Transformations. Based on Research Conducted in Samoa

  • Author: Mirosława Jaworowska
  • Institution: Main School of Fire Service
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3870-9336
  • Published online: 17 December 2021
  • Final submission: 28 November 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 13
  • Pages: 161-173
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202156
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202156.pdf

The Author has demonstrated that Samoan youth is not indifferent to cultural universals, despite attempting to co-create them in the course of a multi-cultural dialogue and globalization processes. The study was founded on research results conducted through local observations and a questionnaire distributed among students of the Faculty of Education at the National University of Samoa in Apia. The research aimed to learn about the opinions, aspirations, attitudes, and value systems of Samoan students as they represent the educated elite of the 21st-century generation. The interviewed approve of contemporary civilizational novelties, as long as those do not harm the traditional culture. The socialization process in the Samoan youth has been occurring on a borderland between upbringing, traditional family-tribal, and the modern state-citizen education in schools and social life. Family and traditional customs are still vivid despite being more open to contemporary civilization and state developments. Although cautious towards novelties that might threaten the Samoan culture, these attitudes may be assessed as a reformatory. Based on the results obtained in Samoa, it is justifiable to state that the process of cultural transformation universalization has been occurring there in many areas of reality.

universalization system transformation generation of civilizational advancement emancipation generation culture of security culture clash value system cultural transformation

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Conciliatory and Conflictual Ethnopolitical Concepts in the Republics of the Russian Federation: Tatarstan and Chechnya

  • Author: Andrzej Wierzbicki
  • Institution: University of Warsaw
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5493-164X
  • Author: Sylwia Gorlicka
  • Institution: University of Warsaw
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1205-030X
  • Published online: 17 December 2021
  • Final submission: 9 March 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 17
  • Pages: 131-147
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202157
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202157.pdf

Russia is a state with a multi-ethnic federal structure inherited from the USSR. Implementing an ethnic policy that would unite and integrate its citizens is one of its most important goals. Among Russia’s federal subjects are also national republics pursuing their own ethno-political concepts, either conciliatory or conflictual. Tatarstan and Chechnya are examples of such republics. With the use of the comparative method, the article is an attempt at demonstrating many factors that have an impact on the shaping and implementing of the ethnic policy through such criteria as the status of the republics, the concept of the nation, and ethnocentrism, historical memory, the role of Islam and its politicization, and the language policy. The article also outlines their consequences and possible future scenarios.

federal subject Chechnya Republic ethnopolitics Tatarstan Russia

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The United States in India's Strategy in the Indo-Pacific Region Since 2014

  • Author: Jakub Zajączkowski
  • Institution: University of Warsaw
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1459-3850
  • Published online: 17 December 2021
  • Final submission: 17 November 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 23
  • Pages: 107-130
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202158
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202158.pdf

The article's objective is to analyze the main assumptions of India's strategy in the Indo-Pacific region and define the role of the US in it. The time frame of the article is determined by the assumption of power in India in 2014 by the Indian People's Party (Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP), led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, as well as the opening of a new stage of the US-led Indo-Pacific rebalancing strategy, which followed China's initiation in 2013 of its Belt and Road Initiative (previously known as the One Belt One Road project). The article seeks to answer the following main research question: What role has India attributed to the United States in its Indo-Pacific strategy since 2014? It hypothesizes that the United States has assumed an increasingly significant role in India's regional strategy over the past seven years, but not to the extent of a formal alliance, only approaching at best the status of a strategic partnership. The theoretical framework used to analyze the case study of the US role in India's regional strategy is the category of institutional balancing and the assumptions of neoclassical realism. The choice of such research tools was determined by their explanatory value. Moreover, both models complement each other. Bearing the above in mind, the following structure of the article was adopted. The first part presents the general assumption of the analysis and the theoretical framework. The second discusses the evolution of India's approach to the US from 2014 to 2021, indicating the reasons for its change and reconstructing the role of the US in the Indian regional strategy, especially after 2020. The third part draws on the theoretical framework adopted in the article, i.e., the assumptions of institutional balancing and neoclassical realism, to offer conclusions that answer the main research questions.

the Indo-Pacific region India strategy the United States

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Book Review: Joanna Marszałek-Kawa, Maria Ochwat (Eds.), Problems, Threats and Challenges for Peace and Conflict Resolution, Toruń 2021, pp. 256.

  • Author: Agnieszka Lipska-Sondecka
  • Institution: University of Szczecin
  • ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8911-4087
  • Published online: 17 December 2021
  • Final submission: 17 November 2021
  • Printed issue: 2021
  • Source: Show
  • Page no: 3
  • Pages: 207-209
  • DOI Address: https://doi.org/10.15804/ppsy202159
  • PDF: ppsy/50/ppsy202159.pdf

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