The conducted research indicates the elements characteristic of power relations among states in Eastern Europe by describing them in mathematical terms. Using existing assumptions and resulting universal powermetric models, the study adapts them to the specifics of the region, enabling the implementation of the negative role of the imports of Russian energy resources in calculating the power of individual states. The role of trade links based on the two main energy resources – natural gas and crude oil – has been indicated. Imports of these raw materials from Russia, which constitute a significant part of the balance of resources used in the energy sectors of the importing countries, are the source of reduction of the geopolitical position of these states in the region, in relation to the position held by the Russian Federation. By taking into account the negative impact of trade in energy resources due to their use by the Russian Federation as a tool in achieving geostrategic goals, the conclusions obtained in the study allow for an increase in the accuracy of existing powermetric models in research on power distribution in Eastern Europe.

President Erdoğan is a colorful figure on the international arena and his actions are multidirectional and multifaceted. Hence, the aim of the article is to analyze the tactics used by Erdoğan in foreign policy and to attempt a forecast for the years 2024–2040 regarding the position of Türkiye in the world. The following methods were used: deduction and prognostic. The period from 2020 to 2022 was analyzed, and the time perspective adopted for the forecast is the period between 2024–2040. The main conclusions of the considerations are as follows. Erdoğan’s phenomenon in foreign policy is that he has built a strong expansive dangerous assertive Türkiye with global diplomatic potential which, although it does not have absolute power, is powerful enough to limit the influence of countries and institutions stronger than itself (1). Erdoğan will have a chance to turn Türkiye into a global power, or at least a state with the strength of a global power, without which no significant decisions on a global scale will be possible (2).