Characteristics of calculating the power of states in Eastern Europe: a powermetric approach

The conducted research indicates the elements characteristic of power relations among states in Eastern Europe by describing them in mathematical terms. Using existing assumptions and resulting universal powermetric models, the study adapts them to the specifics of the region, enabling the implementation of the negative role of the imports of Russian energy resources in calculating the power of individual states. The role of trade links based on the two main energy resources – natural gas and crude oil – has been indicated. Imports of these raw materials from Russia, which constitute a significant part of the balance of resources used in the energy sectors of the importing countries, are the source of reduction of the geopolitical position of these states in the region, in relation to the position held by the Russian Federation. By taking into account the negative impact of trade in energy resources due to their use by the Russian Federation as a tool in achieving geostrategic goals, the conclusions obtained in the study allow for an increase in the accuracy of existing powermetric models in research on power distribution in Eastern Europe.

Особенности расчета силы государств в Восточной Европе: силометрический подход

Исследование, проведенное в данной статье, показывает элементы, характерные для силовых отношений государств в Восточной Европе, описывая их в математических терминах. Используя существующие предположения и полученные универсальные силометрические модели, исследование адаптирует их к специфике региона, позволяя применить при расчете силы государств такой элемент, как негативная роль импорта российских энергоресурсов. В статье особое внимание уделяется роли торговых связей, опирающихся на два энергоресурса – газ и нефть. Их импорт из Российской Федерации, составляющий значительную часть баланса ресурсов энергетических секторов стран-импортеров, является источником ослабления геополитической позиции этих государств в регионе по отношению к позиции России. Принимая во внимание негативное влияние торговли энергоресурсами в связи с их использованием Российской Федерацией в качестве инструмента достижения геостратегических целей, полученные в исследовании выводы позволяют повысить точность существующих силометрических моделей при изучении распределения силы государств в Восточной Европе.

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